Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Ollie Watkins · 30 · Striker · Aston Villa · est. acquisition €13.8M – €33.3M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta Crystal Palace · Premier League | 41% | 29 | ST | €30.0M | €12.4M – €32.4M | €30.5M – €64.0M | 28/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 2% of ATT peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 65% of minutes |
| Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga | 36% | 30 | ST | €18.0M | €9.9M – €20.4M | €14.3M – €35.2M | 1/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 5% of ATT peers; Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.94); 65% of minutes |
| Alex Iwobi Fulham FC · Premier League | 33% | 30 | LW | €20.0M | €8.9M – €19.9M | €17.6M – €33.6M | 2/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of ATT peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left winger; adj. G+A/90 0.33 vs 0.46 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United · Premier League | 32% | 29 | ST | €22.0M | €13.7M – €29.8M | €17.4M – €33.8M | 0/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of ATT peers; Improving trajectory | adj. G+A/90 0.65 vs 0.46 |
| Cucho Hernández Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 32% | 27 | ST | €18.0M | €13.1M – €22.1M | €12.5M – €29.5M | 25/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of ATT peers; Improving trajectory | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.95) |
| Alexander Sørloth Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 31% | 30 | ST | €18.0M | €9.8M – €20.4M | €9.3M – €30.5M | 1/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 7% of ATT peers; 617 minutes in continental competition | weaker league (0.95); 58% of minutes; adj. G+A/90 0.36 vs 0.46 |
| Richarlison Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League | 30% | 29 | ST | €25.0M | €10.3M – €27.1M | €12.4M – €45.3M | 25/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of ATT peers; Improving trajectory | 57% of minutes; adj. G+A/90 0.64 vs 0.46 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal Real Sociedad · Laliga | 29% | 29 | ST | €25.0M | €14.9M – €28.2M | €7.3M – €30.5M | 1/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 12% of ATT peers; Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.95); adj. G+A/90 0.59 vs 0.46 |
| Gorka Guruzeta Athletic Bilbao · Laliga | 29% | 29 | ST | €5.0M | €2.4M – €6.0M | €6.2M – €10.5M | 9/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 18% of ATT peers; Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.95) |
| Emiliano Buendía Aston Villa · Premier League | 28% | 29 | LW | €16.0M | €4.4M – €12.9M | €15.8M – €35.9M | 32/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of ATT peers; 913 minutes in continental competition | plays Left winger; 52% of minutes; adj. G+A/90 0.34 vs 0.46 |
| Nicolas Pépé Villarreal CF · Laliga | 28% | 31 | RW | €6.0M | €2.3M – €6.5M | €10.9M – €20.4M | 5/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of ATT peers; Goal contributions 1.4x the positional average in the league (context-adjusted) | plays Right winger; weaker league (0.95); adj. G+A/90 0.55 vs 0.46 |
| Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga | 28% | 29 | ST | €22.0M | €13.4M – €25.2M | €12.0M – €37.4M | 4/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of ATT peers; Goal contributions 1.4x the positional average in the league (context-adjusted) | weaker league (0.94); adj. G+A/90 0.69 vs 0.46 |
| Breel Embolo Stade Rennais FC · Ligue 1 | 28% | 29 | ST | €15.0M | €9.3M – €17.6M | €5.1M – €14.5M | 1/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 19% of ATT peers; Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.88); 61% of minutes |
| Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano · Laliga | 28% | 29 | RW | €12.0M | €6.2M – €13.8M | €5.0M – €18.5M | 8/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 18% of ATT peers | plays Right winger; weaker league (0.95) |
| Beto Everton FC · Premier League | 27% | 28 | ST | €18.0M | €7.9M – €20.1M | €20.0M – €32.6M | 40/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of ATT peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 2 yrs younger; 46% of minutes; adj. G+A/90 0.58 vs 0.46 |