Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Lukas Hornicek · 23 · Goalkeeper · SC Braga · est. acquisition €13.8M – €26.2M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanislav Agkatsev FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga | 75% | 24 | GK | €12.0M | €8.3M – €17.3M | €3.9M – €17.0M | 56/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 25% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.21 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | very similar |
| Konstantinos Tzolakis Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 | 58% | 23 | GK | €18.0M | €8.2M – €21.3M | €2.4M – €20.2M | 99/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 21% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.36 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | weaker league (0.42) |
| Matej Kovar PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | 49% | 26 | GK | €8.0M | €4.5M – €11.9M | €3.1M – €12.7M | 73/100 | Risk: Moderate | Undisputed starter (91% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 2 yrs older |
| Elías Ólafsson FC Midtjylland · Superliga | 46% | 26 | GK | €3.0M | €1.4M – €4.9M | €1.2M – €6.8M | 89/100 | Risk: High | Undisputed starter (82% of league minutes); 1292 minutes in continental competition | 2 yrs older |
| Leo Kokubo Sint-Truidense VV · Jupiler Pro League | 45% | 25 | GK | €5.0M | €2.0M – €5.7M | €1.2M – €4.3M | 91/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.22 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | very similar |
| Kjell Scherpen Union Saint-Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League | 42% | 26 | GK | €8.0M | €4.6M – €11.1M | €1.8M – €8.8M | 33/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.50 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; 720 minutes in continental competition | 2 yrs older; 72% of minutes |
| Lazar Carević FC Famalicão · Liga Portugal | 41% | 27 | GK | €5.0M | €2.5M – €6.6M | €869k – €4.5M | 54/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.46 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | 3 yrs older |
| Aleksandr Maksimenko FK Spartak Moskva · Premier Liga | 40% | 28 | GK | €4.0M | €1.2M – €3.6M | €2.0M – €8.5M | 91/100 | Risk: High | Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes); Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs older |
| Denis Adamov AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga | 40% | 28 | GK | €3.5M | €1.2M – €3.4M | €1.9M – €8.3M | 99/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.34 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (87% of league minutes) | 4 yrs older |
| Noah Atubolu SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 40% | 24 | GK | €25.0M | €11.6M – €26.4M | €10.1M – €29.1M | 89/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 15% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | stronger league (0.94) |
| Guillaume Restes FC Toulouse · Ligue 1 | 39% | 21 | GK | €18.0M | €13.1M – €27.5M | €6.1M – €24.4M | 51/100 | Risk: Low | Undisputed starter (96% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 3 yrs younger; stronger league (0.88) |
| Andreas Jungdal KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League | 38% | 24 | GK | €3.5M | €2.0M – €5.3M | €934k – €2.6M | 38/100 | Risk: Low | Team conceded 0.16 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | very similar |
| Dominik Kotarski FC Copenhagen · Superliga | 38% | 26 | GK | €5.0M | €2.1M – €6.4M | €470k – €4.1M | 74/100 | Risk: Moderate | Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 2 yrs older |
| Elia Caprile Cagliari Calcio · Serie A | 37% | 24 | GK | €15.0M | €11.3M – €22.0M | €4.0M – €14.7M | 56/100 | Risk: Low | Team conceded 0.30 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | stronger league (0.93) |
| Tobe Leysen Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Jupiler Pro League | 36% | 24 | GK | €5.0M | €1.9M – €5.6M | €1.1M – €3.6M | 82/100 | Risk: Moderate | — | 79% of minutes |