Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Marco Bizot · 35 · Goalkeeper · Aston Villa · est. acquisition €601k – €2.2M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Semper Pisa Sporting Club · Serie A | 14% | 28 | GK | €1.8M | €552k – €1.6M | €552k – €2.6M | 79/100 | Risk: Low | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 7 yrs younger; weaker league (0.93); 66% of minutes |
| Charles Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 14% | 32 | GK | €300k | €88k – €300k | €266k – €1.2M | 85/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 56% of minutes |
| Lorenzo Montipò Hellas Verona · Serie A | 14% | 30 | GK | €1.2M | €388k – €1.3M | €1.9M – €9.1M | 57/100 | Risk: Low | Team conceded 0.37 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (92% of league minutes) | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.93); 92% of minutes |
| Warleson Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League | 13% | 29 | GK | €2.0M | €573k – €1.7M | €462k – €1.1M | 44/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.24 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.65); 41% of minutes |
| André Ferreira Moreirense FC · Liga Portugal | 12% | 30 | GK | €600k | €162k – €599k | €669k – €1.4M | 63/100 | Risk: Moderate | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 65% of minutes |
| Ignacio de Arruabarrena FC Arouca · Liga Portugal | 12% | 29 | GK | €1.0M | €294k – €1.1M | €367k – €1.3M | 50/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.23 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 47% of minutes |
| Juan Castillo Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 12% | 23 | GK | €500k | €181k – €643k | €378k – €1.5M | 81/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 12 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 44% of minutes |
| Andreas Hansen FC Nordsjaelland · Superliga | 12% | 30 | GK | €1.0M | €244k – €1.2M | €403k – €1.2M | 61/100 | Risk: High | — | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.47); 77% of minutes |
| Michael Verrips FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League | 12% | 29 | GK | €450k | €127k – €524k | €277k – €1.0M | 42/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.65); 33% of minutes |
| Vitaliy Gudiev Akron Togliatti · Premier Liga | 11% | 31 | GK | €800k | €196k – €751k | €424k – €739k | 26/100 | Risk: High | Undisputed starter (83% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 83% of minutes |
| Yevgen Volynets FK Polissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liga | 11% | 32 | GK | €750k | €247k – €796k | €286k – €422k | 19/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.60 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (80% of league minutes) | 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.25); 80% of minutes |
| Ennio van der Gouw Rio Ave FC · Liga Portugal | 11% | 26 | GK | €400k | €154k – €364k | €240k – €641k | 89/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.54 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 9 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58) |
| Paul Izzo Randers FC · Superliga | 11% | 31 | GK | €500k | €121k – €439k | €328k – €464k | 79/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.47); 77% of minutes |
| Vadim Ulyanov RFK Akhmat Grozny · Premier Liga | 11% | 24 | GK | €800k | €318k – €1.2M | €343k – €622k | 81/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.47 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 11 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 41% of minutes |
| Nikita Medvedev FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga | 11% | 31 | GK | €750k | €163k – €540k | €458k – €892k | 53/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.20 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes) | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 97% of minutes |