Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Raphaël Guerreiro · 32 · Left-back · Bayern Munich · est. acquisition €1.7M – €5.8M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Cancelo FC Barcelona · Laliga | 58% | 32 | LB | €8.0M | €2.3M – €6.4M | €3.3M – €18.1M | 11/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.23 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | very similar |
| Ramy Bensebaini Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 28% | 31 | CB | €7.0M | €2.3M – €5.9M | €6.5M – €41.9M | 34/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.19 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back; 50% of minutes |
| Alfonso Pedraza Villarreal CF · Laliga | 25% | 30 | LB | €2.5M | €899k – €2.7M | €2.3M – €6.3M | 38/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 23% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | 2 yrs younger; 49% of minutes |
| Mërgim Vojvoda Como 1907 · Serie A | 24% | 31 | RB | €2.5M | €1.0M – €2.5M | €2.3M – €8.9M | 30/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 22% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.57 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Right-back; 47% of minutes |
| Robin Gosens ACF Fiorentina · Serie A | 24% | 31 | LB | €4.0M | €1.4M – €3.8M | €2.8M – €8.2M | 9/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 16% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 55% of minutes |
| Mario Hermoso Associazione Sportiva Roma · Serie A | 24% | 31 | CB | €7.0M | €2.3M – €5.9M | €4.2M – €15.7M | 27/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 11% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.30 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back; 61% of minutes |
| Victor Lindelöf Aston Villa · Premier League | 24% | 31 | CB | €5.0M | €1.9M – €4.7M | €4.6M – €13.9M | 15/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 9% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Centre-back; stronger league (1.30) |
| Clément Lenglet Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 23% | 31 | CB | €4.0M | €1.3M – €3.3M | €6.8M – €23.2M | 39/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Centre-back; 41% of minutes |
| Héctor Bellerín Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 23% | 31 | RB | €2.4M | €1.0M – €2.5M | €2.5M – €13.7M | 43/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Right-back; 53% of minutes |
| Ricardo Mangas Sporting CP · Liga Portugal | 23% | 28 | LB | €2.0M | €639k – €1.9M | €1.5M – €6.0M | 66/100 | Risk: High | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58) |
| Manuel Lazzari Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie A | 22% | 32 | RB | €2.0M | €531k – €1.6M | €844k – €2.6M | 45/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Right-back |
| Zaidu Sanusi FC Porto · Liga Portugal | 22% | 29 | LB | €3.0M | €987k – €2.5M | €1.1M – €4.2M | 70/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.48 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; 530 minutes in continental competition | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58) |
| Diego Llorente Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 22% | 32 | CB | €2.5M | €1.1M – €2.9M | €2.1M – €5.1M | 9/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers; 627 minutes in continental competition | plays Centre-back |
| Marc Oliver Kempf Como 1907 · Serie A | 22% | 31 | CB | €3.5M | €1.2M – €3.0M | €3.3M – €10.6M | 65/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 15% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.49 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back; 68% of minutes |
| Reinildo Mandava Sunderland AFC · Premier League | 21% | 32 | LB | €4.0M | €1.1M – €3.2M | €2.8M – €5.0M | 15/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.73 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | stronger league (1.30); 58% of minutes |