Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Héctor Bellerín · 31 · Right-back · Real Betis Balompié · est. acquisition €1.0M – €2.5M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Lazzari Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie A | 33% | 32 | RB | €2.0M | €531k – €1.6M | €844k – €2.6M | 45/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 27% of minutes |
| José Gayà Valencia CF · Laliga | 33% | 31 | LB | €4.0M | €1.0M – €3.1M | €2.6M – €10.4M | 35/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 23% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Left-back; 72% of minutes |
| Thierry Correia Valencia CF · Laliga | 32% | 27 | RB | €2.5M | €776k – €2.1M | €1.8M – €5.1M | 92/100 | Risk: Moderate | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs younger |
| Javi Galán CA Osasuna · Laliga | 30% | 31 | LB | €1.8M | €595k – €1.8M | €2.2M – €4.2M | 25/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 20% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back |
| Jeremy Toljan Levante UD · Laliga | 28% | 31 | RB | €2.0M | €508k – €1.6M | €1.3M – €4.5M | 76/100 | Risk: Moderate | Undisputed starter (93% of league minutes); Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 93% of minutes |
| Giovanni González FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga | 26% | 31 | RB | €2.0M | €764k – €1.8M | €1.0M – €2.6M | 36/100 | Risk: Very High | Team conceded 0.24 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.56) |
| Duje Caleta-Car Real Sociedad · Laliga | 26% | 29 | CB | €2.8M | €964k – €2.5M | €6.3M – €9.0M | 71/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Centre-back |
| Danny da Costa 1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 26% | 32 | CB | €1.2M | €393k – €1.1M | €1.6M – €5.1M | 79/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 16% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (88% of league minutes) | plays Centre-back; 88% of minutes |
| Deiver Machado FC Nantes · Ligue 1 | 25% | 32 | LB | €1.8M | €520k – €2.0M | €424k – €1.3M | 2/100 | Risk: Very High | Team conceded 0.42 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Left-back |
| Omar Traoré 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga | 25% | 28 | RB | €2.0M | €568k – €2.2M | €1.2M – €3.5M | 61/100 | Risk: Low | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs younger |
| Marnon Busch 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga | 25% | 31 | RB | €1.0M | €241k – €766k | €640k – €2.3M | 68/100 | Risk: Moderate | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | very similar |
| Domingos Duarte Getafe CF · Laliga | 24% | 31 | CB | €800k | €213k – €1.0M | €2.8M – €6.0M | 80/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 20% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.55 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back; 86% of minutes |
| Carlens Arcus Angers SCO · Ligue 1 | 24% | 30 | RB | €1.8M | €452k – €1.4M | €1.1M – €2.5M | 38/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.51 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Improving trajectory | very similar |
| Jonny Otto Deportivo Alavés · Laliga | 23% | 32 | RB | €2.2M | €554k – €1.7M | €1.2M – €3.3M | 34/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 17% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (88% of league minutes) | 88% of minutes |
| Thibault De Smet Paris FC · Ligue 1 | 23% | 28 | LB | €1.8M | €531k – €1.5M | €806k – €2.3M | 81/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; 3 yrs younger; 38% of minutes |