Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Bernd Leno · 34 · Goalkeeper · Fulham FC · est. acquisition €2.3M – €7.2M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Provedel Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie A | 30% | 32 | GK | €3.0M | €1.0M – €3.8M | €3.0M – €11.4M | 6/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 10% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.17 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.93); 71% of minutes |
| Odysseas Vlachodimos Sevilla FC · Laliga | 28% | 32 | GK | €3.0M | €974k – €2.9M | €1.3M – €4.9M | 37/100 | Risk: Moderate | Undisputed starter (87% of league minutes); Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.95) |
| Antonio Sivera Deportivo Alavés · Laliga | 28% | 29 | GK | €6.0M | €2.0M – €6.0M | €3.7M – €7.1M | 74/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 20% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.95) |
| Yvon Mvogo FC Lorient · Ligue 1 | 26% | 32 | GK | €2.5M | €836k – €2.4M | €909k – €3.6M | 39/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.18 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (91% of league minutes) | 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.88) |
| Wladimiro Falcone US Lecce · Serie A | 26% | 31 | GK | €3.5M | €1.2M – €4.2M | €1.8M – €7.2M | 31/100 | Risk: Low | Team conceded 0.49 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.93) |
| Michael Zetterer Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga | 26% | 30 | GK | €4.0M | €1.4M – €4.9M | €2.1M – €4.9M | 4/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 21% of GK peers; 450 minutes in continental competition | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.94); 65% of minutes |
| Marvin Schwäbe 1.FC Köln · Bundesliga | 25% | 31 | GK | €3.0M | €1000k – €3.1M | €1.2M – €4.3M | 46/100 | Risk: Moderate | Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes); Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.94) |
| Stole Dimitrievski Valencia CF · Laliga | 24% | 32 | GK | €2.0M | €707k – €2.5M | €1.1M – €3.0M | 11/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.17 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | weaker league (0.95); 53% of minutes |
| Emil Audero US Cremonese · Serie A | 22% | 29 | GK | €2.8M | €981k – €3.1M | €2.3M – €7.2M | 33/100 | Risk: Low | Team conceded 0.39 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (89% of league minutes) | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.93) |
| Philipp Köhn AS Monaco · Ligue 1 | 21% | 28 | GK | €3.5M | €1.3M – €4.1M | €3.1M – €8.4M | 47/100 | Risk: Moderate | 720 minutes in continental competition; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.88); 53% of minutes |
| Davy Roef KAA Gent · Jupiler Pro League | 21% | 32 | GK | €2.5M | €755k – €2.8M | €805k – €2.6M | 3/100 | Risk: Moderate | Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.65) |
| Grégoire Coudert Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 | 20% | 27 | GK | €4.0M | €1.5M – €4.3M | €814k – €2.9M | 91/100 | Risk: Moderate | — | 7 yrs younger; weaker league (0.88); 72% of minutes |
| Denis Adamov AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga | 19% | 28 | GK | €3.5M | €1.2M – €3.4M | €1.9M – €8.3M | 99/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.34 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (87% of league minutes) | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56) |
| Aleksandr Maksimenko FK Spartak Moskva · Premier Liga | 19% | 28 | GK | €4.0M | €1.2M – €3.6M | €2.0M – €8.5M | 91/100 | Risk: High | Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes); Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56) |
| Lorenzo Montipò Hellas Verona · Serie A | 19% | 30 | GK | €1.2M | €388k – €1.3M | €1.9M – €9.1M | 57/100 | Risk: Low | Team conceded 0.37 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (92% of league minutes) | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.93) |