Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Ørjan Nyland · 35 · Goalkeeper · Sevilla FC · est. acquisition €235k – €1.2M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 21% | 32 | GK | €300k | €88k – €300k | €266k – €1.2M | 85/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 56% of minutes |
| Michael Verrips FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League | 18% | 29 | GK | €450k | €127k – €524k | €277k – €1.0M | 42/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.65); 33% of minutes |
| André Ferreira Moreirense FC · Liga Portugal | 18% | 30 | GK | €600k | €162k – €599k | €669k – €1.4M | 63/100 | Risk: Moderate | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 65% of minutes |
| Vitaliy Gudiev Akron Togliatti · Premier Liga | 16% | 31 | GK | €800k | €196k – €751k | €424k – €739k | 26/100 | Risk: High | Undisputed starter (83% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 83% of minutes |
| Andreas Hansen FC Nordsjaelland · Superliga | 16% | 30 | GK | €1.0M | €244k – €1.2M | €403k – €1.2M | 61/100 | Risk: High | — | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.47); 77% of minutes |
| Juan Castillo Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 16% | 23 | GK | €500k | €181k – €643k | €378k – €1.5M | 81/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 12 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 44% of minutes |
| Ennio van der Gouw Rio Ave FC · Liga Portugal | 15% | 26 | GK | €400k | €154k – €364k | €240k – €641k | 89/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.54 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 9 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 29% of minutes |
| Nikita Medvedev FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga | 15% | 31 | GK | €750k | €163k – €540k | €458k – €892k | 53/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.20 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes) | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 97% of minutes |
| Paul Izzo Randers FC · Superliga | 15% | 31 | GK | €500k | €121k – €439k | €328k – €464k | 79/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.47); 77% of minutes |
| David Volk Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga | 15% | 25 | GK | €900k | €241k – €659k | €453k – €1.1M | 95/100 | Risk: Very High | Team conceded 0.37 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 11 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 50% of minutes |
| Mattijs Branderhorst Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie · Eredivisie | 15% | 32 | GK | €800k | €206k – €844k | €253k – €555k | 24/100 | Risk: High | — | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.43); 71% of minutes |
| Lefteris Choutesiotis APS Atromitos Athinon · Super League 1 | 15% | 31 | GK | €400k | €92k – €544k | €316k – €507k | 79/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.24 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.42); 77% of minutes |
| Guillaume Dietsch FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League | 15% | 25 | GK | €250k | €80k – €334k | €280k – €768k | 79/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 11 yrs younger; weaker league (0.65); 33% of minutes |
| Timur Magomedov Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga | 14% | 24 | GK | €600k | €162k – €454k | €360k – €769k | 97/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.41 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 11 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 43% of minutes |
| Bahadır Güngördü Konyaspor · Super Lig | 14% | 30 | GK | €700k | €164k – €576k | €277k – €729k | 76/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.40); 65% of minutes |