Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Murillo · 23 · Centre-back · Nottingham Forest · est. acquisition €37.5M – €73.5M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Fofana Chelsea FC · Premier League | 55% | 25 | CB | €28.0M | €19.0M – €40.9M | €19.8M – €33.0M | 9/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | very similar |
| James Hill AFC Bournemouth · Premier League | 54% | 24 | CB | €23.0M | €17.1M – €35.2M | €10.9M – €43.9M | 53/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 10% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.46 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | very similar |
| Sven Botman Newcastle United · Premier League | 52% | 26 | CB | €35.0M | €22.9M – €52.0M | €19.3M – €37.7M | 6/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; 544 minutes in continental competition | 2 yrs older |
| Sepp van den Berg Brentford FC · Premier League | 51% | 24 | CB | €32.0M | €23.3M – €47.1M | €29.7M – €47.6M | 20/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 3% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (81% of league minutes) | 81% of minutes |
| Calvin Bassey Fulham FC · Premier League | 49% | 26 | CB | €28.0M | €13.1M – €33.5M | €28.7M – €44.2M | 58/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs older |
| Jean-Clair Todibo West Ham United · Premier League | 46% | 26 | CB | €22.0M | €14.4M – €32.7M | €15.3M – €33.2M | 7/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | 3 yrs older |
| Djed Spence Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League | 44% | 25 | LB | €30.0M | €18.5M – €35.5M | €13.8M – €26.0M | 18/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 11% of DEF peers; 796 minutes in continental competition | plays Left-back |
| Morato Nottingham Forest · Premier League | 44% | 25 | CB | €14.0M | €9.2M – €21.0M | €11.7M – €27.2M | 27/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 12% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | 39% of minutes |
| Chris Richards Crystal Palace · Premier League | 43% | 26 | CB | €28.0M | €13.5M – €35.5M | €22.3M – €39.6M | 59/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (83% of league minutes) | 2 yrs older; 83% of minutes |
| Trevoh Chalobah Chelsea FC · Premier League | 43% | 26 | CB | €40.0M | €28.0M – €57.5M | €23.4M – €46.5M | 7/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 3% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (81% of league minutes) | 3 yrs older; 81% of minutes |
| Nathan Collins Brentford FC · Premier League | 42% | 25 | CB | €30.0M | €20.1M – €43.8M | €37.0M – €56.7M | 53/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 2% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (87% of league minutes) | 87% of minutes |
| Malick Thiaw Newcastle United · Premier League | 42% | 24 | CB | €45.0M | €32.0M – €68.6M | €31.0M – €42.2M | 18/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (87% of league minutes) | 87% of minutes |
| Kristoffer Ajer Brentford FC · Premier League | 42% | 28 | CB | €18.0M | €11.1M – €24.0M | €15.8M – €38.1M | 15/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | 4 yrs older |
| Jarell Quansah Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga | 41% | 23 | CB | €45.0M | €33.8M – €60.2M | €16.0M – €48.2M | 15/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.94) |
| Bafodé Diakité AFC Bournemouth · Premier League | 41% | 25 | CB | €25.0M | €16.7M – €36.5M | €21.4M – €40.9M | 12/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 7% of DEF peers | 37% of minutes |