Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Robin Roefs · 23 · Goalkeeper · Sunderland AFC · est. acquisition €22.6M – €43.3M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 41% | 24 | GK | €25.0M | €11.6M – €26.4M | €10.1M – €29.1M | 89/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 15% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | weaker league (0.94) |
| Djordje Petrovic AFC Bournemouth · Premier League | 41% | 26 | GK | €28.0M | €18.9M – €39.9M | €17.9M – €44.7M | 28/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 5% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | 3 yrs older |
| Caoimhín Kelleher Brentford FC · Premier League | 40% | 27 | GK | €28.0M | €18.9M – €39.9M | €16.8M – €35.0M | 5/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes) | 4 yrs older |
| Luiz Júnior Villarreal CF · Laliga | 38% | 25 | GK | €12.0M | €8.3M – €16.8M | €11.7M – €27.0M | 51/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 12% of GK peers; Improving trajectory | 2 yrs older; weaker league (0.95); 74% of minutes |
| Marco Carnesecchi Atalanta BC · Serie A | 37% | 26 | GK | €30.0M | €22.2M – €37.9M | €12.2M – €41.1M | 54/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes) | 3 yrs older; weaker league (0.93) |
| Elia Caprile Cagliari Calcio · Serie A | 37% | 24 | GK | €15.0M | €11.3M – €22.0M | €4.0M – €14.7M | 56/100 | Risk: Low | Team conceded 0.30 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | weaker league (0.93) |
| Mio Backhaus SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | 36% | 22 | GK | €15.0M | €10.1M – €28.9M | €2.9M – €17.8M | 43/100 | Risk: Low | Undisputed starter (94% of league minutes) | weaker league (0.94) |
| Guillaume Restes FC Toulouse · Ligue 1 | 36% | 21 | GK | €18.0M | €13.1M – €27.5M | €6.1M – €24.4M | 51/100 | Risk: Low | Undisputed starter (96% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.88) |
| Mike Penders RC Strasbourg Alsace · Ligue 1 | 36% | 20 | GK | €25.0M | €19.9M – €36.1M | €7.8M – €26.7M | 45/100 | Risk: Low | Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.88) |
| Leo Román RCD Mallorca · Laliga | 35% | 25 | GK | €6.0M | €3.3M – €8.4M | €2.8M – €6.8M | 55/100 | Risk: Low | Undisputed starter (87% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 3 yrs older; weaker league (0.95) |
| Maduka Okoye Udinese Calcio · Serie A | 34% | 26 | GK | €10.0M | €5.6M – €13.5M | €3.5M – €13.9M | 47/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 24% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.48 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 3 yrs older; weaker league (0.93); 77% of minutes |
| Dean Henderson Crystal Palace · Premier League | 34% | 29 | GK | €28.0M | €16.4M – €38.7M | €22.5M – €37.9M | 1/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 1% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes) | 6 yrs older |
| Arijanet Murić US Sassuolo · Serie A | 33% | 27 | GK | €7.5M | €3.6M – €11.8M | €5.9M – €16.3M | 52/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 22% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.37 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 4 yrs older; weaker league (0.93) |
| Kamil Grabara VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga | 33% | 27 | GK | €12.0M | €6.6M – €14.3M | €3.6M – €12.4M | 16/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 23% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | 4 yrs older; weaker league (0.94) |
| Guglielmo Vicario Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League | 32% | 29 | GK | €18.0M | €10.5M – €25.3M | €12.2M – €22.0M | 5/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 3% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (82% of league minutes) | 6 yrs older |