Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Nico O'Reilly · 21 · Left-back · Manchester City · est. acquisition €50.6M – €105M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Kerkez Liverpool FC · Premier League | 40% | 22 | LB | €35.0M | €24.0M – €47.1M | €46.1M – €69.3M | 31/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of DEF peers; Strong for age (23): top 0% of same-age peers | very similar |
| Jurriën Timber Arsenal FC · Premier League | 36% | 25 | RB | €70.0M | €40.7M – €99.0M | €60.7M – €82.6M | 10/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 1% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Right-back; 4 yrs older |
| Neco Williams Nottingham Forest · Premier League | 36% | 25 | LB | €28.0M | €17.6M – €37.7M | €30.4M – €42.1M | 37/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.17 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 4 yrs older; 94% of minutes |
| Adrien Truffert AFC Bournemouth · Premier League | 36% | 24 | LB | €30.0M | €18.5M – €43.2M | €21.4M – €45.5M | 31/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (99% of league minutes) | 3 yrs older; 99% of minutes |
| Lewis Hall Newcastle United · Premier League | 36% | 21 | LB | €40.0M | €27.3M – €56.1M | €31.6M – €51.0M | 23/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Strong for age (22): top 4% of same-age peers | very similar |
| Álvaro Carreras Real Madrid · Laliga | 35% | 23 | LB | €50.0M | €38.0M – €66.3M | €17.3M – €50.4M | 15/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 11% of DEF peers; 798 minutes in continental competition | weaker league (0.95) |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf West Ham United · Premier League | 35% | 21 | LB | €28.0M | €18.9M – €41.7M | €7.3M – €32.2M | 67/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 17% of DEF peers; Strong for age (22): top 9% of same-age peers | very similar |
| Malo Gusto Chelsea FC · Premier League | 35% | 23 | RB | €35.0M | €21.9M – €46.9M | €33.7M – €44.5M | 17/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 7% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Right-back |
| Piero Hincapié Arsenal FC · Premier League | 33% | 24 | LB | €50.0M | €31.3M – €72.2M | €35.8M – €72.2M | 25/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 2% of DEF peers; 574 minutes in continental competition | 3 yrs older; 55% of minutes |
| Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal FC · Premier League | 32% | 24 | LB | €55.0M | €37.1M – €75.9M | €26.9M – €41.9M | 10/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 5% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.36 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 3 yrs older; 50% of minutes |
| Ian Maatsen Aston Villa · Premier League | 31% | 24 | LB | €30.0M | €18.8M – €41.5M | €22.2M – €35.0M | 20/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of DEF peers; 547 minutes in continental competition | 3 yrs older; 47% of minutes |
| Keane Lewis-Potter Brentford FC · Premier League | 31% | 25 | LB | €25.0M | €15.1M – €32.5M | €29.0M – €44.4M | 36/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers | 4 yrs older; 58% of minutes |
| Álex Valle Como 1907 · Serie A | 31% | 22 | LB | €12.0M | €8.3M – €20.2M | €4.9M – €18.2M | 64/100 | Risk: Low | Team conceded 0.62 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Strong for age (22): top 22% of same-age peers | weaker league (0.93); 59% of minutes |
| Marc Guéhi Crystal Palace · Premier League | 30% | 25 | CB | €70.0M | €49.9M – €103M | €47.1M – €68.4M | 22/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 0% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (92% of league minutes) | plays Centre-back; 5 yrs older |
| Álex Jiménez AFC Bournemouth · Premier League | 30% | 21 | RB | €22.0M | €12.5M – €36.7M | €21.5M – €47.9M | 48/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 10% of DEF peers; Strong for age (21): top 7% of same-age peers | plays Right-back |