What would MoneyballAI have found in 2023?
The top 50 players by Bargain Index on 1 July of that year, using only information available on that date (no look-ahead), and what actually happened over the next ~2 years. All picks are shown — successes and failures.
17 hits (market value up ≥ 25% within ~2 years) · 33 misses · 0 unknown. A “miss” can still have been a sensible purchase; “hit” is judged against market value, not our own estimates.
| # | Player | Age then | League then | BI | Value then | Est. acquisition then | Value ~2y later | Change | Next league | Sold for | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladyslav Sharay LW | 26 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €126k | €400k | +33% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 2 | Demeaco Duhaney RB | 25 | Super Lig | 100 | €325k | €127k | €300k | -8% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 3 | Oleksandr Belyaev LM | 24 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €136k | €400k | +33% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 4 | Andriy Bliznichenko RW | 29 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €147k | €200k | -33% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 5 | Malik Tillman AM | 21 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €5.0M | €5.4M | €32.0M | +540% | Eredivisie | — | hit |
| 6 | Talles Brener AM | 25 | Premier Liga | 100 | €600k | €323k | €450k | -25% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 7 | Callum Johnson RB | 27 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €250k | €101k | €250k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 8 | Yegor Tverdokhlib AM | 23 | Premier Liga | 100 | €600k | €399k | €1.5M | +150% | Premier Liga | €300k | hit |
| 9 | Fabricio Alvarenga RW | 27 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €155k | €200k | -33% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 10 | Denys Antyukh RW | 26 | Premier Liga | 100 | €600k | €319k | €600k | +0% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 11 | Bogdan Sarnavskyi GK | 28 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €154k | €250k | -17% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 12 | James Brown RB | 26 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €325k | €153k | €325k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 13 | Adam Tzanetopoulos CB | 28 | Super League 1 | 100 | €250k | €122k | €400k | +60% | left covered leagues / no data | — | hit |
| 14 | Vladyslav Bugay ST | 26 | Premier Liga | 100 | €250k | €137k | €200k | -20% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 15 | Akhmed Alibekov DM | 25 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €135k | €300k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 16 | Vladyslav Yemets LB | 26 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €113k | €100k | -67% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 17 | Yevgen Pidlepenets RW | 25 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €173k | €600k | +100% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 18 | Léo Tilica RW | 28 | Super League 1 | 100 | €300k | €163k | €300k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 19 | Joan Sastre RB | 26 | Super League 1 | 100 | €1.5M | €687k | €1.3M | -13% | Super League 1 | — | miss |
| 20 | Andriy Ponedelnik RB | 26 | Premier Liga | 99 | €400k | €169k | €800k | +100% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 21 | Vadym Vitenchuk DM | 27 | Premier Liga | 99 | €600k | €293k | €400k | -33% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 22 | Vitaliy Boyko CM | 26 | Premier Liga | 99 | €350k | €160k | €400k | +14% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 23 | Stanislav Sharay CM | 26 | Premier Liga | 99 | €300k | €175k | €350k | +17% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 24 | Görkem Sağlam CM | 25 | Super Lig | 99 | €600k | €270k | €1.1M | +83% | Super Lig | — | hit |
| 25 | Rezan Corlu AM | 26 | Superliga | 99 | €350k | €155k | €300k | -14% | Superliga | — | miss |
| 26 | Ilya Putrya RB | 25 | Premier Liga | 99 | €500k | €275k | €700k | +40% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 27 | Yassin Oukili CM | 23 | Eredivisie | 99 | €600k | €421k | €900k | +50% | Eredivisie | — | hit |
| 28 | Nazariy Vorobchak RM | 23 | Premier Liga | 99 | €300k | €183k | €100k | -67% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 29 | Greg Kiltie LW | 26 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €375k | €158k | €500k | +33% | Scottish Premiership | — | hit |
| 30 | Oleksandr Demchenko DM | 27 | Premier Liga | 99 | €600k | €269k | €600k | +0% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 31 | Beka Vachiberadze CM | 27 | Premier Liga | 99 | €300k | €171k | €350k | +17% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 32 | Lazaros Rota RB | 26 | Super League 1 | 99 | €1.8M | €937k | €3.0M | +67% | Super League 1 | — | hit |
| 33 | Matej Markovic GK | 27 | Super League 1 | 99 | €300k | €158k | €300k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 34 | David Carmona RB | 27 | Super League 1 | 99 | €450k | €217k | €450k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 35 | João Virgínia GK | 24 | Eredivisie | 99 | €600k | €347k | €800k | +33% | left covered leagues / no data | — | hit |
| 36 | Dominik Oroz CB | 23 | Eredivisie | 99 | €600k | €434k | €800k | +33% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 37 | George Harmon LB | 23 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €300k | €179k | €325k | +8% | Scottish Premiership | — | miss |
| 38 | Konstantinos Doumtsios ST | 26 | Super League 1 | 99 | €350k | €173k | €350k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 39 | Luis Perea DM | 26 | Super League 1 | 99 | €600k | €284k | €400k | -33% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 40 | Sondre Solholm CB | 28 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €350k | €179k | €350k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 41 | Dmytro Kravchenko DM | 28 | Premier Liga | 99 | €300k | €144k | €100k | -67% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 42 | Melih Kabasakal DM | 27 | Super Lig | 99 | €400k | €184k | €700k | +75% | Super Lig | — | hit |
| 43 | Konstantinos Apostolakis RB | 24 | Super League 1 | 99 | €350k | €191k | €125k | -64% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 44 | Mykyta Tatarkov AM | 29 | Premier Liga | 99 | €400k | €163k | €300k | -25% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 45 | Jonathan Morsay LW | 26 | Super League 1 | 99 | €400k | €200k | €400k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 46 | Cristopher Núñez AM | 26 | Super League 1 | 99 | €450k | €224k | €500k | +11% | Super League 1 | — | miss |
| 47 | Sito LW | 27 | Super League 1 | 99 | €450k | €207k | €350k | -22% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 48 | Ewan Henderson AM | 23 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €450k | €257k | €600k | +33% | Jupiler Pro League | — | hit |
| 49 | Mark O'Hara DM | 28 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €600k | €299k | €700k | +17% | Scottish Premiership | — | miss |
| 50 | Marko Sapuga DM | 20 | Premier Liga | 99 | €400k | €394k | €500k | +25% | Premier Liga | — | hit |