What would MoneyballAI have found in 2024?
The top 50 players by Bargain Index on 1 July of that year, using only information available on that date (no look-ahead), and what actually happened over the next ~2 years. All picks are shown — successes and failures.
14 hits (market value up ≥ 25% within ~2 years) · 36 misses · 0 unknown. A “miss” can still have been a sensible purchase; “hit” is judged against market value, not our own estimates.
| # | Player | Age then | League then | BI | Value then | Est. acquisition then | Value ~2y later | Change | Next league | Sold for | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Lyons CM | 27 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €350k | €174k | €350k | +0% | Scottish Premiership | — | miss |
| 2 | Dmytro Shastal LW | 29 | Premier Liga | 100 | €250k | €122k | €250k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 3 | Vladyslav Sharay LW | 27 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €145k | €500k | +67% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 4 | Will Dennis GK | 24 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €350k | €228k | €350k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 5 | Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi LM | 25 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €133k | €500k | +67% | left covered leagues / no data | €50k | hit |
| 6 | Will Fish CB | 21 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €550k | €525k | €550k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 7 | Yevgeniy Shevchenko LB | 29 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €135k | €400k | +33% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 8 | Harry Paton CM | 26 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €300k | €159k | €300k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 9 | Vladyslav Vakula LW | 25 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €139k | €200k | -33% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 10 | Kerim Alıcı RB | 27 | Super Lig | 100 | €250k | €107k | €200k | -20% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 11 | Corrie Ndaba LB | 25 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €350k | €198k | €900k | +157% | Serie A | — | hit |
| 12 | Jack Ipalibo DM | 26 | Super League 1 | 100 | €300k | €137k | €300k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 13 | Dara Costelloe LW | 22 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €325k | €218k | €325k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 14 | Semen Vovchenko CB | 25 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €168k | €500k | +67% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 15 | Oleg Slobodyan AM | 28 | Premier Liga | 100 | €300k | €144k | €300k | +0% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 16 | Matthew Smith DM | 25 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €400k | €219k | €200k | -50% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 17 | Artem Kozak RM | 26 | Premier Liga | 100 | €800k | €369k | €500k | -38% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 18 | Tony Gallacher LB | 25 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €350k | €171k | €350k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 19 | Joe Wright CB | 29 | Scottish Premiership | 100 | €350k | €183k | €300k | -14% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 20 | Talles Brener AM | 26 | Premier Liga | 99 | €600k | €292k | €500k | -17% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 21 | Ivan Kalyuzhnyi CM | 26 | Premier Liga | 99 | €400k | €219k | €2.0M | +400% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 22 | Luke McCowan CM | 27 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €600k | €316k | €1.5M | +150% | Scottish Premiership | €1.2M | hit |
| 23 | Burak Kapacak RW | 25 | Super Lig | 99 | €400k | €224k | €200k | -50% | Super Lig | — | miss |
| 24 | Matty Kennedy LW | 30 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €350k | €152k | €100k | -71% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 25 | Jakov Basic DM | 28 | Premier Liga | 99 | €500k | €236k | €600k | +20% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 26 | Alaaddin Okumuş RB | 29 | Super Lig | 99 | €300k | €131k | €100k | -67% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 27 | Alasana Manneh CM | 26 | Superliga | 99 | €400k | €184k | €450k | +13% | Scottish Premiership | — | miss |
| 28 | Emil Mustafayev AM | 23 | Premier Liga | 99 | €600k | €400k | €350k | -42% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 29 | Nazım Sangaré RB | 30 | Super Lig | 99 | €300k | €119k | €200k | -33% | Super Lig | — | miss |
| 30 | Yaroslav Mikhailov CM | 21 | Premier Liga | 99 | €600k | €356k | €700k | +17% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 31 | Miguel Campos CB | 28 | Premier Liga | 99 | €300k | €190k | €800k | +167% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 32 | Denys Pidgurskyi DM | 21 | Premier Liga | 99 | €500k | €389k | €500k | +0% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 33 | Andriy Kukharuk CM | 29 | Premier Liga | 99 | €300k | €145k | €300k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 34 | Jair Tavares LW | 23 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €350k | €210k | €300k | -14% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 35 | Nazariy Fedorivskyi GK | 28 | Premier Liga | 99 | €300k | €172k | €300k | +0% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 36 | Shamal George GK | 27 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €300k | €178k | €300k | +0% | Scottish Premiership | — | miss |
| 37 | Ilias Chatzitheodoridis LB | 27 | Super League 1 | 99 | €350k | €155k | €500k | +43% | Super League 1 | — | hit |
| 38 | Mykola Mykhaylenko DM | 23 | Premier Liga | 99 | €500k | €314k | €2.0M | +300% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 39 | Vasyl Runich LW | 24 | Premier Liga | 99 | €500k | €281k | €400k | -20% | Premier Liga | — | miss |
| 40 | Vadym Vitenchuk DM | 28 | Premier Liga | 99 | €400k | €187k | €450k | +13% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 41 | Liam Donnelly DM | 28 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €350k | €151k | €200k | -43% | Scottish Premiership | — | miss |
| 42 | Nicholas Mickelson LB | 25 | Superliga | 99 | €400k | €201k | €1.0M | +150% | left covered leagues / no data | — | hit |
| 43 | Julio Cesar CB | 28 | Premier Liga | 99 | €250k | €155k | €250k | +0% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 44 | Jasin Assehnoun LW | 26 | Super League 1 | 99 | €350k | €178k | €350k | +0% | Super League 1 | — | miss |
| 45 | Ari Moura RW | 28 | Premier Liga | 99 | €350k | €176k | €500k | +43% | Premier Liga | — | hit |
| 46 | Andy Diouf CM | 21 | Ligue 1 | 99 | €9.0M | €9.1M | €20.0M | +122% | Serie A | €20.0M | hit |
| 47 | Caolan Boyd-Munce CM | 24 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €400k | €227k | €500k | +25% | left covered leagues / no data | — | hit |
| 48 | Sergiy Kosovskyi DM | 26 | Premier Liga | 99 | €300k | €131k | €200k | -33% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |
| 49 | Jordan McGhee CB | 28 | Scottish Premiership | 99 | €350k | €145k | €100k | -71% | Scottish Premiership | — | miss |
| 50 | Vladyslav Yemets LB | 27 | Premier Liga | 99 | €350k | €167k | €75k | -79% | left covered leagues / no data | — | miss |